So ... me and my kitty avatar(s) have been thinking, so to speak.
Trump only needs some "Insider" delegates to Defect like the Prisoner's Dilemma.
Trump's hardest negotiating line, is Prez or 3rd party.
Cruz is trying his hardest to make a stab at winning delegates, even though he won't succeed.
Sooner or later, he's smart enough to know it's Vice Prez or nothing.
Cruz has the massively weaker hand.
The "Insiders" know that only a small handful have to defect, and it's over.
None of them are saying they're gonna defect, but
they all know somebodies are lying slightly more than the somebodies elses.
I think Cruz looks at this and knows his ultimate move HAS TO BE kow tow to Trump, especially while he has full control of his own delegates.
I think the smart "Insiders" look at Cruz defecting, plus so few of their own needing to defect anyway, combining to end the whole game ...
that there's a "Insiders" Palace Revolt / ~Coup D'etat being organized. They're the : OK we'll play ball since this is the only real game in town.
What the Defectors want is as much influence as possible on their side, marginalizing a specific ~Old Guard group as much as possible, and worming their way in to take over, the no organization Trump part, and the weaksauce clueless Cruz part.
The additional bets they make are Trump is : "just like other charismatic types, with no long term org at all" , and Cruz is : "as much the flavor-of-the-month for the Social Conservs as Huckabee or Santorum pitch 'em both overboard when the next cutie comes along".
Tally that as a : Trump strong, Cruz weak, Defectors medium, combo ;
with the Defectors playing at a medium term takeover (so they think).
Call it "The" Coalition with the 3 sides already having their Knives out.
They all know what the others are bringing to the table.
Does this sound possible ?
Or scarily possible ?!