1st Chess , then Go , now US Air Force , when D&D ?

[altpersona]

i got a side gig that i do just to get out of the house.... it pays 10 to 25 $ for upto about 5 hours. costs me about 5 - 10 $ to do the job... (gas and snacks)

as i pointed out in a recent facebook argument, i have previously been 'responsible for the east coast' (this is both  exaggeration and accurate)... now i work for 2$ hour for 'fun' :/

[awaken_D_M_golem]

Dude !


I figure in a very abstract way, that the average
American is worth about $ 1,000,000 .
(given the news of the last few days is upsetting) 
Now hear me out on these two points.

Thing 1
Some kid gets shot by the police.  Nobody cares.
His neighborhood protests (and a smidge violently)
and a local business suffers $ 1,000,000 loss.
That loss inspires the various moneyed interests
to change what they're doing.  As in :  Dang I just
lost a lot of money, something musta gone wrong.

Thing 2
Current minimum wage as a full time job with
bare bones obama-care attached, is worth
approximately $20,000 a year.  If you got an
investment grade Annuity on a cool million
the yearly payout would be $20,000 .

[awaken_D_M_golem]

Couple of benchmarks got tagged ...

I was in a McD's and an elderly couple were trying to get work info for their grandkid serving overseas.  Manager said "We don't do applications online anymore."

And a 15 year old walked out into rush hour traffic  while playing Pokemon Go and died.
The game is a type of thing similar to something Vernor Vinge wrote about in Rainbows End.

[awaken_D_M_golem]

Website builder that builds itself, with a.i. ---> https://firedrop.ai/
I wonder if it works with this kind of Forum/Boards.

Pokemon Go deserves it's own entry, as the #1 all time launch and world wide.
Not just the dead 15 year old above.
Dude runs into cop car sitting on the side of the road, inverted non-rubbernecking.
62 year old gets stuck in the mud, has to call 911 to be saved from playing.
Pokemon at Auschwitz.
Couple abandons 2 year old, to play.
Player bit by snake he thought was a stick, d&d-ish sticks to snakes eh?
Exercise app records more steps because of playing.
Paroled Sex Offenders barred from playing in NY State.
Olympic gymnast runs up too much roaming in Brazil.
Israeli Army (!) identifies it as a security risk.

[awaken_D_M_golem]

This is pretty darn awesome reality intervention ...

What I learned as a hired consultant to autodidact physicists
short link w/ cartoon http://scienceblogs.com/stoat/2016/08/13/4521/
slightly longer original https://aeon.co/ideas/what-i-learned-as-a-hired-consultant-for-autodidact-physicists


  for the record, I took freshman physics 3 times
before the t.a. took me aside and said :
"You know this class has the biggest curve in the whole school, right?"
I got a B minus , time number 4.

[awaken_D_M_golem]

1 last thing about Pokemon Go
http://www.politico.eu/article/norways-prime-minister-caught-playing-pokemon-go-in-parliament/


(edit --- for a timeline-ish set)
This is what a real Black Swan event looks like
... I guarantee there are some very smart people in the US Military
who are near apoplectic that they don't know where this storm is going.
AccuWeather , PSU Meteorology , the Brits , NOAA , Geico and Hedge Funds too.

The "spaghetti plot" for Matthew, is the various public forecasting services' best models :

Haiti = straight up the coast of the US
Cuba = hook at North Carolina
Miami = chaos
https://i1.wp.com/a.abcnews.com/images/US/abc_hurricane_matthew_spaghetti_model_01_mt_161006_4x3_992.jpg
Daytona = loop + chaos
https://localtvwtkr.files.wordpress.com/2016/10/hurricane-stats-spaghetti8.png
Jacksonville = loop
http://www.conservativedailynews.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Hurricane-Matthew-computer-models-10-8-16-0800.jpg
Charleston = hook + chaos
https://encrypted-tbn3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTFfgToduMq-TCWuM6RaFG-3nnaO6r49XDbY9TWSPx0ct9F-NIy
off Outer Banks = direct east then Bahamas to Iceland to Azores to UK to Nova Scotia = they have no idea !!
Turns out, it became Post-tropical while still over North Carolina, they totally on missed that.
https://encrypted-tbn1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4_Pq0LXbeT8v1-6uNBA1ofyBjKqR3CgZDCeDWswl2BDZq4HNdCg
... and dropped off much faster.  The "eye" is (was?) between the 2 black spots directly east of the NC/Va border.
http://i1.wp.com/www.athensgaweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/wv-animated.gif?fit=225%2C150

Meanwhile Hurricane Nicole is about 1000 miles east, just sitting there, spinning this whole time and going no where.

[awaken_D_M_golem]

Editted above into a timeline.

Weather Channel even did a story on how far off the models were.
They haven't put it onto their video links page yet.

[SorO_Lost]

Meanwhile Hurricane Nicole is about 1000 miles east, just sitting there, spinning this whole time and going no where.

I told it to take a Ready Action and see if anything survived first.

[FireInTheSky]

Meanwhile Hurricane Nicole is about 1000 miles east, just sitting there, spinning this whole time and going no where.

I told it to take a Ready Action and see if anything survived first.

[oslecamo]

personally I look forward to the day they learn to play Halo and call us all noobs

Trivia, but FPS is actually something AIs are already darn good at.

Too good actually, since an unrestricted bot would land perfect headshots with every bullet faster than any humie could react. We would never win.

The challenge in making a FPS AI is actually dumbing it down to humie levels, which is much harder than it sounds as you need both to hit that sweet humie reflexes spot while adding some random behaviour to look "natural".

Ditto for fighting games AIs.

[awaken_D_M_golem]

hmm ... I'm remembering something about Robots that look too closely like Humans, but that it freaks people out too much.  (might be able to find a source if I looked)  ... I wonder if having a Robot do other things ultra close to "humie" capacity, would also be too freaky.

Meanwhile Hurricane Nicole is about 1000 miles east, just sitting there, spinning this whole time and going no where.

I told it to take a Ready Action and see if anything survived first.

 


**

'Nother anomaly, some people got evacuated from the NC coast
and where they got evac'd to, ALSO had to be a rescue evac.

C'mon North Carolina, South Carolina didn't have that  problem !


**

1 more spaghetti plot, technically still about Matthew, not Nicole spinning down there.
http://cdn.tegna-media.com/wltx/weather/spaghetti_plots.jpg
... right now they can't agree where it is, let alone where it's going.

[FireInTheSky]

hmm ... I'm remembering something about Robots that look too closely like Humans, but that it freaks people out too much.  (might be able to find a source if I looked)  ... I wonder if having a Robot do other things ultra close to "humie" capacity, would also be too freaky.

Uncanny Valley (or if you prefer going down the tvtropes rabbit hole)

[awaken_D_M_golem]

Bingo !

Thanks 

[awaken_D_M_golem]

Svck on this , Scottie !!

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/this-rocket-engine-breaks-a-law-of-physics-but-a-nasa-test-says-it-works-anyway/ar-AAkDdUL?li=BBnbcA1

[awaken_D_M_golem]

Shorty update ...

Alpha Go 2.0 is the #1 rated Go player already.  It's over.


A very specific version of Poker was solved in early 2015.
A related very restricted version of Poker the TV tournament style, has been beating the Poker pros that are helping Carnegie Mellon U program it.
It can't handle 3+ players yet, too many combinations.
And it has a hard time with uncertain info ... which it bypasses by being way better at random behavior than people.
Right now, it pretty much can beat anybody in the late stages of a hand, so the pros respond with more aggressive style early in a hand.
Who knows if this might work with other types of poker.

Poker is on NOTICE.

[awaken_D_M_golem]

U of Alberta's Cepheus poker a.i. has expanded into No-Limit ... but
2 players only and 4 rounds only.  Interestingly their approach is quite different from CM's.
idk any  details of how a Nash Equilibrium style works , vs. CM's pile of algorithms.

Anybody wanna chime in with a Nash Equilibrium for Freshman Calc 1_"dummies" explanation?

**

EMOJI's    don't work.  I'm sad.
I'll have to refrain until a much simpler and platform (!) shared batch, are mustered.
Different email feeds and boards and graphics, change the appearance of smileys enough,
that people will often misjudge say the happy to sad scale on a 1 to 10, by an Average of 2.

No wonder nobody understood what my kitty avatar was saying ...
(except my kitty avatar's Tail  which obviously has it's own agenda).

Go to sleep   

[awaken_D_M_golem]

Facebook A.I. creates it's own language.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/tonybradley/2017/07/31/facebook-ai-creates-its-own-language-in-creepy-preview-of-our-potential-future/#2ebe4713292c

It's too bad they decided to shut it down, instead of trying to figure out what it was doing.  Or learning how to "talk" to it, and ask it itself what it was doing.
etc
Of course the dude writing this took the Terminator will kill us all angle (as I suppose FB did perhaps reluctantly idk).

I just finished a short story about Dogs being awakened, and they figure out that dogs are being euthanized at shelters, so they start being dog-errists (if you catch my drift).  And they didn't all live happily ever after.

[Nanshork]

I just finished a short story about Dogs being awakened, and they figure out that dogs are being euthanized at shelters, so they start being dog-errists (if you catch my drift).  And they didn't all live happily ever after.

There's a Rick & Morty episode about that, except it's about dogs getting fixed instead of euthanized.

[awaken_D_M_golem]

late Ha! response to that Nansh.

**

Alpha Go as it turns out, had a bug they discovered something like 5 days before the big roll-out, and it was only fixed after in Alpha Go 2.0.   There's a documentary film about it somewhere ...

**

Since I paid a lot of attention last year, to that major Hurricane ... Irma is really bad.  The forecasts have been way better, like nearly spot on.  Don't know if it's luck that the steering was much easier to figure out, or a whole bunch of Somebodies got a big algorithm + processing upgrade.  Barclays (!) said this would be their largest loss ever very early on and probably others too, and they've got all that wall street money processing and forecasting access before everyone else.  Of course the forecasters missed the 1.5x World record max winds timespan.  Still have some 86^oF / 30^oC water to power the thing.
I have a rarely interacted with Cousin, who'll get a few hours of 100+ mph wind no matter which way the storm goes, and an old bff's ex + kids who'll get perhaps worse maybe storm surge too.  Sweating small bullet here, hopefully their faux McMansions were up to codes.  Bunch of totally wrecked islands as a prelude, is no comfort at all ... Sint Maartens, Barbuda, Caicos, Brit Virgins.

[awaken_D_M_golem]

Skeptical Inquirer mag had an article on ditching Argument Fallacies.
It isn't available online yet, perhaps another 3 or 4 months.
The authors did get a more officially serious version published, idk where or access.

Here's a kernel of it random find :
http://dailynous.com/2017/06/15/philosophers-care-much-fallacies/
(just noticed there's a link in there to a longer post)